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Proposition 17d:

(Family Life)

 

(please scroll down)

 

Proposition 17d: If Sylvan Lake Public swimming areas became ‘tops optional’, the consequences would be: improved family life, diminished family life, or no change in family life.

 

 

Summary: {The majority voted ‘diminished family life’ and it is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. If we exclude the ‘No Change in Family Life’ category, of the 75 people who voted ‘Improved Family Life’ or ‘Diminished Family Life’, 85% voted ‘Diminished Family Life’.}

 

Summary:

 

Score:

(‘Improved family life’:

‘no change’:

‘Diminished family life’)

‘Diminished Family Life:

‘no change’

ratio

‘Diminished Family Life’:

‘Improved Family Life’

ratio

All Voters

11:46:64

1.4:1

5.8:1

All Males

6:23:20

1:1.2

3.3:1

All Females

5:21:44

2.1:1

8.8:1

 

 

 

 

Teen Females

0:3:10

3:1

10:0

All non-residents

2:3:5

1.7:1

2.5:1

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

Details:

 

 

 

Improved family life

No Change

 

Diminished family life

Number of Voters

Number of Abstainers

All Voters

11

46

64

121

15

All Males

6

23

20

49

4

All Females

5

21

44

70

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

Teen Females

0

3

10

13

0

All non-residents

2

3

5

10

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Of the 121 Voters who responded:

 

9%

Improved Family Life

38%

No Change in Family Life

53%

Diminished Family Life

 

 

If we exclude the ‘Improved Family Life’ category:

of the 110 people who voted ‘No Change in Family Life’ or ‘Diminished Family Life’:

 

42%

No Change in Family Life

58%*

( ±9.3%, 19 times out of 20)

*The difference between the two numbers is Statistically Significant

Diminished Family Life

 

 

If we exclude the ‘No Change in Family Life’ category:

of the 75 people who voted ‘Improved Family Life’ or ‘Diminished Family Life’:

 

15%

Improved Family Life

85%

( ±11%, 19 times out of 20)

Diminished Family Life


 

Graph 17d-A

Graph 17d-B


 

Graph 17d:C

Graph 17d-D


 

Results:

 

Improved Family Life:        11 votes

No change in Family Life:  46 votes

Diminished Family Life:     64 votes

 

Calculation of Margin of Error:

 

Comparing ‘No change in Family Life’ vs. ‘Diminished Family Life’:

 

            No change in Family Life:  46 votes

            Diminished Family Life:     64 votes

n=110

            Using the formula: Margin of Error= ±9.3%

 

Diminished Family Life: 64 votes±9.3%=64 votes ±6 votes = a range of 58 to 70

No change: 46 votes±9.3%=46 votes±4.3 = a range of 41.7 to 50.3

 

            Since the two ranges do not overlap, the majority vote is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level, therefore a vote of the general Community would produce the same majority nineteen times out of twenty.

 

 

Discussion of Results:

 

            Males in all age categories voted ‘no change’ in a slight majority, but females, in all age categories voted ‘diminished family life’ by a large margin.

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