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Proposition 17d: (Family Life)
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Proposition 17d: If Sylvan Lake Public swimming areas became ‘tops optional’, the consequences would be: improved family life, diminished family life, or no change in family life.
Summary: {The majority voted ‘diminished family life’ and it is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. If we exclude the ‘No Change in Family Life’ category, of the 75 people who voted ‘Improved Family Life’ or ‘Diminished Family Life’, 85% voted ‘Diminished Family Life’.}
Summary:
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Score: (‘Improved family life’: ‘no change’: ‘Diminished family life’) |
‘Diminished Family Life: ‘no change’ ratio |
‘Diminished Family Life’: ‘Improved Family Life’ ratio |
All Voters |
11:46:64 |
1.4:1 |
5.8:1 |
All Males |
6:23:20 |
1:1.2 |
3.3:1 |
All Females |
5:21:44 |
2.1:1 |
8.8:1 |
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Teen Females |
0:3:10 |
3:1 |
10:0 |
All non-residents |
2:3:5 |
1.7:1 |
2.5:1 |
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Details:
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Improved family life |
No Change
|
Diminished family life |
Number of Voters |
Number of Abstainers |
All Voters |
11 |
46 |
64 |
121 |
15 |
All Males |
6 |
23 |
20 |
49 |
4 |
All Females |
5 |
21 |
44 |
70 |
10 |
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Teen Females |
0 |
3 |
10 |
13 |
0 |
All non-residents |
2 |
3 |
5 |
10 |
0 |
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Of the 121 Voters who responded: |
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9% |
Improved Family Life |
38% |
No Change in Family Life |
53% |
Diminished Family Life |
If we exclude the ‘Improved Family Life’ category: of the 110 people who voted ‘No Change in Family Life’ or ‘Diminished Family Life’: |
|
42% |
No Change in Family Life |
58%* ( ±9.3%, 19 times out of 20) *The difference between the two numbers is Statistically Significant |
Diminished Family Life |
If we exclude the ‘No Change in Family Life’ category: of the 75 people who voted ‘Improved Family Life’ or ‘Diminished Family Life’: |
|
15% |
Improved Family Life |
85% ( ±11%, 19 times out of 20) |
Diminished Family Life |
Graph 17d-A
Graph 17d-B
Graph 17d:C
Graph 17d-D
Results:
Improved Family Life: 11 votes
No change in Family Life: 46 votes
Diminished Family Life: 64 votes
Calculation of Margin of Error:
Comparing ‘No change in Family Life’ vs. ‘Diminished Family Life’:
No change in Family Life: 46 votes
Diminished Family Life: 64 votes
n=110
Using the formula: Margin of Error= ±9.3%
Diminished Family Life: 64 votes±9.3%=64 votes ±6 votes = a range of 58 to 70
No change: 46 votes±9.3%=46 votes±4.3 = a range of 41.7 to 50.3
Since the two ranges do not overlap, the majority vote is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level, therefore a vote of the general Community would produce the same majority nineteen times out of twenty.
Discussion of Results:
Males in all age categories voted ‘no change’ in a slight majority, but females, in all age categories voted ‘diminished family life’ by a large margin.
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