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Proposition 17c: (Property Values)
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Proposition 17c: If Sylvan Lake Public swimming areas became ‘tops optional’, the consequences would be: lower property values, higher property values, or no change in property values.
Summary: {the majority voted: ‘no change in property values’. It was statistically significant.
Summary:
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Score: (‘Higher property values’: ‘no change’: ‘Lower property values’) |
‘no change’: ‘higher’ ratio |
All Voters |
27:62:31 |
2.3:1 |
All Males |
14:25:9 |
1.8:1 |
All Females |
13:35:22 |
2.7:1 |
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Teen Females |
5:5:3 |
1:1 |
All non-residents |
2:5:3 |
2.5:1 |
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Details:
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Higher property values |
No Change
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Lower property values |
Number of Voters |
Number of Abstainers |
All Voters |
27 |
62 |
31 |
120 |
16 |
All Males |
14 |
25 |
9 |
48 |
5 |
All Females |
13 |
35 |
22 |
45 |
10 |
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Teen Females |
5 |
5 |
3 |
13 |
0 |
All non-residents |
2 |
5 |
3 |
10 |
0 |
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Of the 120 Voters who responded: |
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22.5% |
for Higher Property Values |
51.7% |
No Change in Property Values |
25.8% |
Lower Property Values |
If we exclude the ‘Higher Property Values’ category: of the 93 Voters who voted ‘No Change’ or ‘Lower Property Values’. |
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67% (±10.1%, 19 times out of 20) |
No Change in Property Values |
33% |
Lower Property Values |
Graph 17c-A
Graph 17c-B
Graph 17c-C
Graph 17c-D
Results:
Higher Property Values: 27 votes
No change: 62 votes
Lower Property Values: 31 votes
Calculation of Margin of Error:
Comparing ‘No Change’ vs. Lower Property Values:
No change: 62 votes
Lower Property Values: 31 votes
n=93
Using the formula: Margin of Error = ±10.1%
No change: 62 votes±10.1%= 62 votes ±6.3 votes = a range of 55.7 to 68.3
Lower Property Values: 31 votes±10.1%=31 votes ±3.1 votes = a range of 27.9 to 34.1
The ranges do not overlap, therefore, the majority vote that such a policy will not effect property values is statistically significant at the 95% confidence level (i.e. 19 times out of 20) and we would expect a vote of the general Community would yield the same result.
Discussion of Results:
The results are fairly consistent, with all age categories agreeing that a tops-optional policy would not effect property values.
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