Proposition number 3: It is a violation of Community Standards for a nine-year-old boy to be momentarily naked while in the process of changing his cloths at a public beach.

Summary: {There is no winner since a win by only three votes is not statistically significant when applied to the community as a whole. The majority of the 106 voters, enacted the proposition as stated, but we cannot tell, at the 95% confidence level, if the community as a whole would vote in the same way. Its just too close to call.}

Details:

Graph 3A

Graph 3B

If (excluding the ‘no rule’ category) 48.3% of voters are in favour of a 9-year-old boy being nude at a public beach, at what age would a simple majority vote (50% plus one), favour?

Graph 3C

Calculation of Margin of Error:

Results:

            Agreement: 45

            No Rule: 19

            Disagreement: 42

            Comparing the Agreement and Disagreement Votes, and Calculation of margin of error ranges for the 95% confidence level:

            45±10.5% = 45±4.7 = a range of 40.3 to 49.7

            42±10.5% = 42±4.4 = a range of 37.6 to 46.4

            Because the Agreement range and the Disagreement range overlap, the resulting vote cannot be considered statistically significant at the generally accepted 95% (i.e. 19 times out of 20) confidence level.

Discussion on Results for Proposition Number 3:

            The ‘No Rule’ category votes was particularly low for the eligible males at only four votes. This implies that the males thought that there ought to be a rule on this topic, but the overall vote results indicate that there is general disagreement on what that rule ought to be.

            Teen females voted 7:1 that a nude boy is a violation of Community Standards. Non-residents Voted 8:0 that a nude boy is not a violation of Community Standards.

            Graph 3C attempts to discover the age of a nude boy on a beach that would find majority support among voters. Excluding the ‘no rule’ category, 48.3% of voters favour a  boy of 9 being nude on a public beach. Graph 3C is the percentage of voters who favour a boy being nude on a public beach vs. the age of such a boy. There are only three data point pairs on the graph. Each pair of data points are the upper and lower error boundary for of the three age categories: 2, 9 and 18 years old. The data point pair on the left is taken from proposition number 11 and corresponds to the percentage of voters who approve of a two year old baby being nude on a public beach. The data point pair on the right is taken from proposition number 16 and corresponds to the percentage of voters who approve of an adult being nude on a public beach. I assigned the age of eighteen to this data point pair, even though this point applies to the entire adult population. The middle data point pair is taken from proposition number three and corresponds to the percentage of voters who approve of a nine-year-old boy being nude on a public beach. The curve appears to be slightly concave to the upside. Generally, the percentage of voters who approve of a boy being nude on a public beach exhibits an inverse relationship with the boy’s age. As the age of the boy increases, the percentage approval decreases. The curve crosses the 50% support line at a point that corresponds to a boy of a little over 8½ years-old. From graph 3C, we can conclude that the maximum age of a boy that can be nude on an undesignated area of a public beach is approximately 8½. At this age, a majority of voters would be in favour of a boy being nude.

            In practice, parents should view 8½ as the upper boundary of a boy being nude on a public beach.

Voter Comments Section:

Community Standards Vote 2008

Ifs/ands/buts/comments on the following proposition: 3. It is a violation of  Community Standards for a nine-year-old boy to be momentarily naked while in the process of changing his cloths at a public beach.

[Comments are typed as the various authors wrote them with no correction of spelling or editing.  Editors notes are placed within square brackets.]

[legend: M=male, F=female, number is age, X=not specified.]

-end of Proposition 3-

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