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Home > P17b:Business Activity |
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Proposition 17b: (Business Activity)
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Proposition 17b: If Sylvan Lake swimming areas became ‘tops optional’, the consequences would be: more business activity, less business activity, or no change.
Summary: {the six vote difference between ‘more’ and ‘less’ is not statistically significant therefore the result cannot be applied with confidence to the Community as a whole.}
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Score: (‘more business’: ‘no change’: ‘Less business’) |
more business: less business ratio |
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All Voters |
43:42:37 |
1.2:1 |
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All Males |
19:20:10 |
1.9:1 |
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All Females |
23:22:26 |
1:1.1 |
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Teen Females |
3:5:5 |
1:1.7 |
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All non-residents |
6:3:1 |
6:1 |
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Details:
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More business activity |
No Change
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Less business activity |
Number of Voters |
Number of Abstainers |
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All Voters |
43 |
42 |
37 |
122 |
14 |
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All Males |
19 |
20 |
10 |
49 |
4 |
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All Females |
23 |
22 |
26 |
71 |
9 |
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Teen Females |
3 |
5 |
5 |
13 |
0 |
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All non-residents |
6 |
3 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
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Of the 122 Eligible Voters who responded: |
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35% |
More Business Activity |
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34% |
No Change in business activity |
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30% |
Less Business Activity |
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If we exclude the ‘no change’ category: of the 80 Eligible Voters who voted ‘More Business Activity’ or ‘Less Business Activity’: |
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54% (±11%, 19 times out of 20) |
More Business Activity |
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46% |
Less Business Activity |
Graph 17b-A
Graph 17b-B
Graph 17b:C
Graph 17b:D
Results:
More Business Activity: 43 votes
No Change 42 votes
Less Business Activity: 37 votes
Calculation of Margin of Error:
Comparing More Business Activity vs. Less Business Activity:
More Business Activity: 43 votes
Less Business Activity: 37 votes
n=80
Using the formula: Margin of Error = ±11%
More business activity: 43 votes±11%=43 votes±4.7 votes = a range of 38.3 to 47.7
Less business activity: 37 votes±11%=37 votes ±4.1 votes = a range of 32.9 to 41.1
Because the two ranges overlap, the difference between the two numbers is not statistically significant at the 95% confidence level when applied to the Community as a whole.
Discussion of Results:
The net results are not statistically significant. We cannot determine if a majority would vote for any one choice if the vote were taken for the Community as a whole.
As in proposition 17a, there is an age effect. Males over 30 voted in the majority for ‘no change’ in business activity, and Females over 30 voted in the majority for less business activity.
Females under 30 voted that there would be no change and Males under 30 voted for more business activity.
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