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Home > P17a:Tourism |
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Proposition 17a: Tourism (please scroll down)
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Proposition 17a: If Sylvan Lake Public swimming areas became ‘tops-optional’, the consequences would be: more tourism, less tourism, or no change.
Summary: {More Tourism wins. If we exclude the ‘no change’ category:
of the 83 People who voted ‘More Tourism’ or ‘Less Tourism’, 58% voted ‘more tourism’.}
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Score: (‘more tourism’: ‘no change’: ‘Less tourism’) |
‘more tourism’: ‘no change’ ratio
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All Voters |
48:38:35 |
1.26:1 |
more |
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All Males |
22:18:8 |
1.2:1 |
more |
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All Females |
25:20:26 |
1:1 |
less |
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Teen Females |
7:3:3 |
2.3:1 |
more |
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All non-residents |
7:2:1 |
3.5:1 |
more |
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Details:
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More Tourism
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No Change
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Less Tourism
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Number of Voters |
Number of Abstainers |
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All Voters |
48 |
38 |
35 |
121 |
15 |
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All Males |
22 |
18 |
8 |
48 |
5 |
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All Females |
25 |
20 |
26 |
71 |
9 |
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Teen Females |
7 |
3 |
3 |
13 |
0 |
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All non-residents |
7 |
2 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
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Of the 121 Voters who responded: |
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40% |
More Tourism |
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31% |
No Change in Tourism |
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29% |
Less Tourism |
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If we exclude the ‘no change’ category: of the 83 People who voted More Tourism or Less Tourism: |
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58% (±10.8%, 19 times out of 20) |
More Tourism |
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42% |
Less Tourism |
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If we exclude the ‘Less Tourism’ category: of the 86 Eligible Voters who voted ‘More Tourism’ or ‘No Change’: |
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56% (±10.6%, 19 times out of 20) |
More Tourism |
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44% |
No Change |
Graph P17a-A
Graph P17a-B
Graph 17a-C
Graph 17a-D
Calculation of Margin of Error:
Results:
More tourism: 48 votes
No Change: 38 votes
Less tourism: 35 votes
Comparing ‘More tourism’ vs. ‘No Change’
More tourism: 48 votes
No Change: 38 votes
n=86
Using the formula, Margin of Error = ±10.6%
More tourism: 48 votes±10.6%=48votes ±5.1votes= a range of 42.9 to 53.1
No Change: 38±10.6%=38votes ± 0.6votes= a range of 37.4 to 38.6
Since the ranges do not overlap, the win for ‘More tourism’ is significant at the confidence level of 95% (i.e. 19 time out of 20) when applied to the Community as a whole.
Discussion of Results:
Overall, Eligible Female Voters were virtually tied between More Tourism and Less Tourism but very few Eligible Male Voters voted Less Tourism, pushing the net result in their favour.
There appears to be a large age effect here. Those under 30 years of age, voted in a majority that there would be more tourism (graph 17a-C), but voters over thirty voted in a tie that there would be either less tourism or no change(graph 17a-D). The majority of females over thirty, voted that there would be less tourism but the majority of males over thirty voted that there would be no change, tying the over-thirty female vote.
-end of proposition 17a-
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